Blackhawks vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - Nov. 5

The Tampa Bay Lightning (9-3-2) host the Chicago Blackhawks (4-11-1) at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday, Nov. 5 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have won seven in a row at home while the Blackhawks are losers of seven straight road games.

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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we project to bring home the win in Thursday's hockey game.

The Blackhawks have gone 3-6-1 over the last 10 contests, totaling 24 total goals (four power-play goals on 36 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 11.1%). They have given up 33 goals to their opponents.

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final result of Lightning 5, Blackhawks 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-441)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 9-3-2 record overall, with a 1-2-3 record in games that have required overtime.
• Tampa Bay has five points (2-0-1) in the three games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the two games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they lost both times.
• The Lightning are 9-1-2 in the 12 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 20 points).
• In the eight games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 6-1-1 to register 13 points.
• In the 10 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 7-2-1 (15 points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents four times, and went 2-1-1 (five points).

Blackhawks Splits and Trends

• The Blackhawks have a record of 4-11-1 this season and are 1-1-2 in overtime games.
• In the five games Chicago has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up five points.
• This season the Blackhawks recorded only one goal in three games and they lost every time.
• Chicago has two points (1-4-0) in five games this season when it has scored two goals.
• The Blackhawks have scored at least three goals in six games, earning seven points from those contests.
• This season, Chicago has recorded a lone power-play goal in five games has a record of 4-0-1 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Chicago is 1-1-1 (three points).
• The Blackhawks have been outshot by opponents 13 times this season, and earned six points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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