Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - Nov. 3

The Tampa Bay Lightning (8-3-2) will try to continue a six-game home win streak when they take on the Detroit Red Wings (7-5-3) on Tuesday, Nov. 3 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here's our pick for who will secure the victory in Tuesday's matchup.

In the last 10 games, the Red Wings have put up a record of 6-2-2. They have put up 34 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 30. They have gone on the power play 32 times during that span, and have capitalized with eight goals (25.0% of opportunities).

Red Wings vs. Lightning Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final tally of Lightning 4, Red Wings 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-260)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning are 8-3-2 overall and 1-2-3 in overtime contests.
• Tampa Bay is 2-0-1 (five points) in its three games decided by one goal.
• In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they lost both times.
• The Lightning are 8-1-2 in the 11 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 18 points).
• In the seven games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it picked up 11 points after finishing 5-1-1.
• In the nine games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 6-2-1 (13 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in four games. The Lightning finished 2-1-1 in those matchups (five points).

Red Wings Splits and Trends

• The Red Wings (7-5-3 overall) have posted a record of 2-3-5 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
• In the four games Detroit has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up three points.
• This season the Red Wings registered only one goal in one game and they lost that matchup.
• Detroit has two points (1-1-0) in two games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
• The Red Wings have scored three or more goals nine times, earning 12 points from those matchups (5-2-2).
• This season, Detroit has scored a single power-play goal in seven games and registered eight points with a record of 4-3-0.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Detroit is 5-5-0 (10 points).
• The Red Wings have been outshot by opponents three times this season, and earned four points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Red Wings vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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