Lightning vs. Golden Knights Prediction & Picks - Oct. 20

Pittsburgh Penguins v Vegas Golden Knights

Photo: Christian Petersen / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Vegas Golden Knights (8-2) will aim to continue a three-game win streak when they face the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-2) at home on Tuesday, Oct. 20 at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Here's our pick for who will capture the victory in Tuesday's matchup.

Lightning vs. Golden Knights Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final result of Golden Knights 4, Lightning 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Golden Knights (-113)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Golden Knights Splits and Trends

  • The Golden Knights (8-2 overall) have a 2-0-2 record in contests that have needed overtime.
  • Vegas is 2-1-0 (four points) in its three games decided by one goal.
  • Vegas finished 1-1-0 in the two games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
  • The Golden Knights have scored at least three goals in eight games (7-1-0, 14 points).
  • In the four games when Vegas has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 3-1-0 record (six points).
  • In the seven games when it outshot its opponent, Vegas is 6-1-0 (12 points).
  • The Golden Knights have been outshot by opponents three times, and went 2-1-0 (four points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 1-0-1 record in overtime matchups this season and a 6-2 overall record.
  • Tampa Bay has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
  • This season the Lightning scored just one goal in two games and they lost both times.
  • So far this season, the Lightning have scored more than two goals six times and won each of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in three games this season and won all of those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 5-1-0 (10 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents twice, earning a total of two points across those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Golden Knights Rank Golden Knights AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
3rd 4.10 Goals Scored 3.13 13th
6th 2.40 Goals Allowed 2.63 9th
8th 29.8 Shots 30.9 3rd
7th 25.4 Shots Allowed 23.0 4th
6th 27.78% Power Play % 10.71% 31st
24th 73.91% Penalty Kill % 75.00% 22nd

Lightning vs. Golden Knights Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada

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