Kraken vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - Oct. 15

Tampa Bay Lightning v New York Rangers

Photo: Sarah Stier / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (4-2) host the Seattle Kraken (5-2, winners of three straight) at Benchmark International Arena. The contest on Thursday, Oct. 15 starts at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which team we think will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

Kraken vs. Lightning Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final score of Lightning 4, Kraken 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-287)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Kraken (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • Tampa Bay has won its only game that was decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they lost both times.
  • The Lightning have scored three or more goals four times, and are 4-0-0 in those games.
  • In the two games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it won both times (four points).
  • In the four games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 3-1-0 (six points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents two times, and went 1-1-0 (two points).

Kraken Splits and Trends

  • The Kraken have posted a record of 1-0-1 in overtime games as part of an overall mark of 5-2.
  • This season the Kraken recorded just one goal in one game and they lost that matchup.
  • Seattle has two points (1-1-0) in two games this season when it has scored two goals.
  • So far this season, the Kraken have scored three or more goals four times and won each of those games.
  • Seattle has scored a lone power-play goal in five games this season and has registered six points from those matchups.
  • Seattle is undefeated (2-0-0, four points) when outshooting its opponent this season.
  • The Kraken have been outshot by opponents in five games, going 3-2-0 to register six points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Kraken AVG Kraken Rank
21st 2.83 Goals Scored 4.00 3rd
8th 2.67 Goals Allowed 2.71 9th
8th 29.5 Shots 26.9 15th
4th 23.8 Shots Allowed 30.6 30th
31st 8.33% Power Play % 22.73% 12th
17th 80.00% Penalty Kill % 78.95% 20th

Kraken vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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