Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
Game 6 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Friday will see the Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens face off, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The Canadiens are up 3-2. The Lightning are favored (-119) against the Canadiens (-101).
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Before watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which team we predict will come out on top in Friday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.
Lightning vs. Canadiens Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final result of Canadiens 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Canadiens (-101)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 50-26-6 overall and 11-8-19 in overtime contests.
- Tampa Bay has 32 points (13-11-6) in the 30 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the nine games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they went 2-6-1 (five points).
- Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 21 games this season (5-12-4 record, 14 points).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals 55 times, and are 45-7-3 in those games (to record 93 points).
- In the 29 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 38 points after finishing 17-8-4.
- When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 29-14-6 (64 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 36 games, going 21-13-2 to register 44 points.
Canadiens Splits and Trends
- The Canadiens have a record of 48-24-10 this season and are 16-11-27 in overtime matchups.
- In the 35 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 50 points.
- This season the Canadiens registered just one goal in five games and they've earned two points (1-4-0) in those contests.
- Montreal has earned 10 points (4-9-2 record) this season when scoring two goals .
- The Canadiens have earned 101 points in their 63 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, Montreal has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 29 games has a record of 20-7-2 in those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 18-15-2 (38 points).
- The Canadiens' opponents have had more shots in 48 games. The Canadiens went 30-9-9 in those contests (69 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Canadiens AVG | Canadiens Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4th | 3.49 | Goals Scored | 3.4 | 7th |
| 3rd | 2.79 | Goals Allowed | 3.06 | 16th |
| 14th | 28 | Shots | 26.3 | 22nd |
| 9th | 26.6 | Shots Allowed | 27.8 | 18th |
| 17th | 20.33% | Power Play % | 23.14% | 10th |
| 3rd | 82.56% | Penalty Kill % | 78.14% | 19th |