Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
Something has to give when the Tampa Bay Lightning (48-25-6, on a three-game losing streak) go on the road against the Boston Bruins (43-26-10, losers of four in a row). The matchup on Saturday, April 11 starts at 12:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
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Here's our prediction for who will secure the win in Saturday's game.
The Bruins have put up a 5-3-2 record over their last 10 contests. They have scored 33 total goals (six power-play goals on 27 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 22.2%) while giving up 29 goals to their opponents.
Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this contest expects a final tally of Bruins 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Bruins (+104)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Bruins (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 48-25-6 overall and 9-6-15 in overtime matchups.
- Tampa Bay is 9-10-4 (22 points) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
- The nine times this season the Lightning finished a game with only one goal, they went 2-6-1 (five points).
- Tampa Bay has finished 4-10-3 in the 17 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 11 points).
- The Lightning have scored three or more goals in 51 games (42-7-2, 86 points).
- In the 27 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up 35 points after finishing 16-8-3.
- In the 43 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 26-12-5 (57 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 34 games, going 20-13-1 to record 41 points.
Bruins Splits and Trends
- The Bruins (43-26-10 overall) have posted a record of 12-10-22 in games that have needed OT this season.
- Boston has earned 37 points (15-7-7) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Bruins recorded just one goal in 11 games and have gone 1-8-2 (four points).
- Boston has 13 points (6-9-1) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Bruins have scored at least three goals 52 times, earning 79 points from those matchups (36-9-7).
- This season, Boston has scored a single power-play goal in 35 games and registered 40 points with a record of 17-12-6.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 16-11-3 (35 points).
- The Bruins' opponents have had more shots in 47 games. The Bruins finished 27-13-7 in those matchups (61 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Bruins AVG | Bruins Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4th | 3.52 | Goals Scored | 3.29 | 12th |
| 3rd | 2.80 | Goals Allowed | 3.08 | 19th |
| 13th | 28.1 | Shots | 27.0 | 21st |
| 8th | 26.7 | Shots Allowed | 29.7 | 29th |
| 15th | 20.75% | Power Play % | 23.50% | 9th |
| 3rd | 82.47% | Penalty Kill % | 76.56% | 25th |