Lightning vs. Kraken Prediction & Picks - March 26

The Seattle Kraken (31-29-10) will aim to halt a four-game losing streak when they take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (44-21-5) on the road on Thursday, March 26 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before this matchup, here's who we predict to take home the victory in Thursday's hockey contest.

The Kraken have scored 29 goals over their last 10 outings, while allowing 37 goals. A total of 26 power-play opportunities during that span have turned into four power-play goals (15.4%). They are 2-7-1 over those contests.

Lightning vs. Kraken Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Kraken 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-299)
• Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning are 44-21-5 overall and 9-5-14 in overtime matchups.
• Tampa Bay is 8-9-3 (19 points) in its 20 games decided by one goal.
• The seven times this season the Lightning finished a game with only one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
• Tampa Bay has finished 4-8-3 in the 15 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 11 points).
• The Lightning are 38-7-1 in the 46 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 77 points).
• In the 25 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 16-7-2 record (34 points).
• In the 39 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 24-11-4 (52 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 29 games. The Lightning finished 18-10-1 in those contests (37 points).

Kraken Splits and Trends

• The Kraken have a 6-10-16 record in overtime matchups this season and a 31-29-10 overall record.
• Seattle has earned 25 points (10-5-5) in its 20 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Kraken scored only one goal in 10 games and they finished 0-9-1 in those matchups.
• When Seattle has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned eight points (2-12-4 record).
• The Kraken have scored three or more goals in 40 games, earning 62 points from those contests.
• Seattle has scored a single power-play goal in 31 games this season and has registered 37 points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Seattle has posted a record of 6-11-3 (15 points).
• The Kraken have been outshot by opponents in 45 games, going 23-17-5 to record 51 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Kraken Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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