Lightning vs. Kraken Prediction & Picks - March 17

The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-21-4) and Seattle Kraken (31-26-9) meet at Climate Pledge Arena on Tuesday, March 17 at 10 p.m. ET on TNT. The Lightning lost to the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2 in their last outing, while the Kraken are coming off a 6-2 win over the Florida Panthers.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Tuesday's hockey action.

The Kraken have a 4-6-0 record in their past 10 contests. They have scored 29 total goals (four power-play goals on 31 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 12.9%) while allowing 32 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Kraken Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final score of Lightning 4, Kraken 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-191)
• Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Kraken (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have gone 9-4-13 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 40-21-4.
• In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-2 record (good for 18 points).
• Looking at the seven times this season the Lightning ended a game with just one goal, they have a 2-4-1 record, good for five points.
• Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
• The Lightning are 34-7-0 in the 41 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 68 points).
• In the 23 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up 30 points after finishing 14-7-2.
• When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 21-11-3 (45 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 29 games. The Lightning finished 18-10-1 in those contests (37 points).

Kraken Splits and Trends

• The Kraken have earned a record of 6-9-15 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall mark of 31-26-9.
• Seattle has earned 25 points (10-5-5) in its 20 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Kraken scored only one goal in nine games and they finished 0-8-1 in those matchups.
• When Seattle has scored two goals this season, they've earned eight points (2-10-4 record).
• The Kraken have scored at least three goals 39 times, earning 61 points from those matchups (29-7-3).
• This season, Seattle has recorded a lone power-play goal in 30 games has a record of 15-8-7 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Seattle is 6-11-2 (14 points).
• The Kraken's opponents have had more shots in 42 games. The Kraken went 23-14-5 in those contests (51 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Kraken Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington

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