Florida State vs. SMU Predictions - March 7

Florida State v Dayton

Photo: Dylan Buell / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The SMU Mustangs (19-11, 8-9 ACC) will try to break a three-game losing streak when they visit the Florida State Seminoles (16-14, 9-8 ACC) on March 7, 2026 at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.

Saturday's matchup between the Seminoles and the Mustangs features the Seminoles as 2.5-point favorites. A 159.5-point over/under is set for the game.

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Florida State vs. SMU Odds and Game Info

  • Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Game time: 2 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ACC Network
  • Location: Tallahassee, Florida
  • Arena: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center

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Florida State vs. SMU Odds and Prediction

  • Spread favorite: Florida State (-2.5)
  • Moneyline: Florida State (-130), SMU (+108)
  • Total: 159.5 points

Pick ATS:SMU (+2.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (159.5)
  • Prediction: SMU 81, Florida State 79

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Florida State vs. SMU Comparison

Florida State Rank Florida State Stat SMU Stat SMU Rank
94th 79.6 Points Scored 85.2 20th
278th 77.5 Points Allowed 78.0 298th
149th 14.2 Assists 17.3 22nd
170th 10.8 Turnovers 10.8 170th
299th 43.0% Field Goal % 49.5% 20th
190th 44.4% Field Goal % Allowed 43.3% 114th

Florida State Key Players

  • The Seminoles leader in points and assists is Robert McCray, who scores 15.6 points per game along with 5.9 assists.
  • Florida State's best rebounder is Lajae Jones, who averages 5.7 boards per game in addition to a PPG average of 12.1.
  • The Seminoles get the most three-point shooting production out of Chauncey Wiggins, who knocks down 2.1 threes per game.
  • The Florida State steals leader is Martin Somerville, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Jones, who compiles 1.1 rejections per contest.

SMU Key Players

  • Kevin Miller's points (18.9 per game) and assists (6.7 per game) stat lines are the top scoring and assists spots on the Mustangs' leaderboards.
  • Samet Yigitoglu grabs 7.8 rebounds per game (also scoring 10.9 points per game and adds 1.6 assists per game) which secures the top of the SMU rebounding leaderboard.
  • Jaron Pierre Jr. hits 2.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mustangs.
  • SMU's leader in steals is B.J. Edwards with 2.3 per game, and its leader in blocks is Yigitoglu with 1.4 per game.

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