Photo: Jamie Sabau / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-18-4) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-25-11) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, March 7 at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network. The Maple Leafs are riding a seven-game home losing streak.
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Before watching this matchup, here's a look at which squad we think will bring home the victory in Saturday's action on the ice.
The Maple Leafs have gone 3-5-2 over the last 10 games, scoring 25 total goals (seven power-play goals on 19 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 36.8%). They have given up 32 goals to their opponents.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Maple Leafs 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-212)
- Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 9-4-13 in overtime contests on their way to a 38-18-4 overall record.
- Tampa Bay has 18 points (8-8-2) in the 18 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- Looking at the seven times this season the Lightning ended a game with only one goal, they have a 2-4-1 record, good for five points.
- Tampa Bay has finished 4-6-3 in the 13 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 11 points).
- The Lightning are 32-6-0 in the 38 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 64 points).
- In the 20 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 12-6-2 to register 26 points.
- In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 19-11-3 (41 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 18-7-1 to register 37 points.
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have posted a record of 8-11-19 in overtime contests on their way to an overall mark of 27-25-11.
- Toronto has earned 30 points (11-3-8) in its 22 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal in six games and they've earned two points (0-4-2) in those contests.
- When Toronto has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 14 points (5-9-4 record).
- The Maple Leafs have earned 49 points in their 38 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 21 games and picked up 18 points with a record of 6-9-6.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 6-8-2 (14 points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 45 times this season, and earned 47 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5th | 3.45 | Goals Scored | 3.16 | 14th |
| 2nd | 2.67 | Goals Allowed | 3.46 | 29th |
| 15th | 28.3 | Shots | 27.4 | 21st |
| 9th | 26.7 | Shots Allowed | 31.9 | 32nd |
| 13th | 21.28% | Power Play % | 19.73% | 18th |
| 5th | 83.16% | Penalty Kill % | 83.02% | 6th |